•                               Updated: date = 06 01 2022 time = 06:56 PST

    NCAA TOURNAMENT ODDS WOMEN DIVISION III

    ODDS (%) are based on (1) Selection Criteria of NCAA Men's Division I, (2) games yet to be played, (3) estimated tournament seeding and (4) a Monte Carlo Technique. Invite is the probability of making the tournament; Final 8, Final 4 and Final 2 is the probability of reaching the quarterfinals, semifinals and finals and Champ is the probability of winning the tournament. Numbers in each column are the the probability in percent, e.g., "33" = 33% or 1 out of 3. RPI, SOS and QWF can be found here.

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    Rank Icon Team Conf W L Invite Final 8 Final 4 Final 2 Champ
    1 Adrian MIAA 3 12 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Albertus Magnu Great Nort 3 13 0 0 0 0 0
    3 Albion MIAA 13 4 0 0 0 0 0
    4 Albright MAC Common 5 12 0 0 0 0 0
    5 Alfred Empire Eig 3 11 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Allegheny North Atla 10 5 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Alma MIAA 10 6 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Alvernia MAC Common 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Amherst NESCAC 8 7 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Anderson (IN) Heartland 2 9 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Anna Maria Great Nort 2 15 0 0 0 0 0
    12 Arcadia MAC Common 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Augsburg Midwest 0 16 0 0 0 0 0
    14 Augustana CCIW 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    15 Aurora Midwest 13 6 0 0 0 0 0
    16 Averett USA South 12 4 0 0 0 0 0
    17 Babson NEWMAC 13 6 0 0 0 0 0
    18 Baldwin Wallac Ohio 6 11 0 0 0 0 0
    19 Bard Liberty Le 2 13 0 0 0 0 0
    20 Bates NESCAC 3 10 0 0 0 0 0
    21 Beloit Midwest 1 10 0 0 0 0 0
    22 Benedictine (I Midwest 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    23 Berry SAA 9 6 0 0 0 0 0
    24 Bethany Presidents 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    25 Birmingham-Sou SAA 10 9 0 0 0 0 0
    26 Bowdoin NESCAC 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
    27 Brevard USA South 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    28 Bridgewater Old Domini 6 12 0 0 0 0 0
    29 Bridgewater St MASCAC 10 9 0 0 0 0 0
    30 Brockport SUNYAC 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
    31 Bryn Athyn CSAC 10 3 0 0 0 0 0
    32 Bryn Mawr Centennial 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    33 Buffalo State SUNYAC 6 9 0 0 0 0 0
    34 Cabrini Atlantic E 12 8 0 0 0 0 0
    35 Cairn Independen 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
    36 Cal Lutheran Independen 1 16 0 0 0 0 0
    37 Calvin MIAA 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    38 Canton North Atla 12 7 0 0 0 0 0
    39 Capital Ohio 20 1 0 0 0 0 0
    40 Carroll CCIW 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
    41 Carthage CCIW 15 3 0 0 0 0 0
    42 Castleton Little Eas 2 13 0 0 0 0 0
    43 Catholic Landmark 14 5 0 0 0 0 0
    44 Cazenovia North Atla 7 6 0 0 0 0 0
    45 Cedar Crest CSAC 3 6 0 0 0 0 0
    46 Centenary CSAC 1 7 0 0 0 0 0
    47 Centre SAA 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    48 Chapman SCIAC 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
    49 Chatham Presidents 6 7 0 0 0 0 0
    50 Chicago CCIW 18 2 0 0 0 0 0
    51 Clark NEWMAC 3 11 0 0 0 0 0
    52 Clarkson Liberty Le 10 6 0 0 0 0 0
    53 Claremont-Mudd SCIAC 14 6 0 0 0 0 0
    54 Christopher Ne Coast to C 10 9 0 0 0 0 0
    55 Coast Guard NEWMAC 11 7 0 0 0 0 0
    56 Colby NESCAC 16 4 0 0 0 0 0
    57 Colby-Sawyer Great Nort 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
    58 Colorado Colle Independen 10 7 0 0 0 0 0
    59 Concordia-Chic Midwest 8 6 0 0 0 0 0
    60 Concordia-Wisc Midwest 2 10 0 0 0 0 0
    61 Connecticut Co NESCAC 6 9 0 0 0 0 0
    62 Cornell Colleg Midwest 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    63 Cortland SUNYAC 16 5 0 0 0 0 0
    64 Curry Comm. Coas 2 12 0 0 0 0 0
    65 Dallas Independen 0 10 0 0 0 0 0
    66 Dean NECC 6 10 0 0 0 0 0
    67 Delaware Valle MAC Freedo 1 14 0 0 0 0 0
    68 Denison North Coas 12 8 0 0 0 0 0
    69 DePauw North Coas 10 4 0 0 0 0 0
    70 DeSales MAC Freedo 8 10 0 0 0 0 0
    71 Dickinson Centennial 3 11 0 0 0 0 0
    72 Drew Landmark 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
    73 Eastern Connec Little Eas 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    74 Eastern Mennon Independen 1 12 0 0 0 0 0
    75 Earlham Heartland 3 10 0 0 0 0 0
    76 Eastern MAC Freedo 1 15 0 0 0 0 0
    77 Edgewood Independen 7 6 0 0 0 0 0
    78 Elizabethtown Landmark 3 13 0 0 0 0 0
    79 Elmhurst CCIW 1 12 0 0 0 0 0
    80 Elms NECC 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    81 Emerson NEWMAC 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
    82 Emmanuel (MA) Great Nort 10 7 0 0 0 0 0
    83 Endicott Comm. Coas 13 7 0 0 0 0 0
    84 Franklin & Mar Centennial 18 4 0 0 0 0 0
    85 Farmingdale St Skyline 9 8 0 0 0 0 0
    86 FDU-Florham MAC Freedo 16 3 0 0 0 0 0
    87 Ferrum Old Domini 7 9 0 0 0 0 0
    88 Fitchburg Stat MASCAC 6 11 0 0 0 0 0
    89 Framingham Sta MASCAC 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
    90 Franciscan Presidents 8 6 0 0 0 0 0
    91 Franklin Heartland 4 9 0 0 0 0 0
    92 Fredonia SUNYAC 1 15 0 0 0 0 0
    93 Geneseo SUNYAC 14 4 0 0 0 0 0
    94 George Fox Northwest 17 1 0 0 0 0 0
    95 Gettysburg Centennial 19 4 0 0 0 0 0
    96 Gordon Comm. Coas 6 10 0 0 0 0 0
    97 Goucher Landmark 2 14 0 0 0 0 0
    98 Greensboro USA South 0 14 0 0 0 0 0
    99 Guilford Old Domini 5 12 0 0 0 0 0
    100 Gwynedd-Mercy Atlantic E 8 10 0 0 0 0 0
    101 Hamilton NESCAC 8 7 0 0 0 0 0
    102 Hamline Midwest 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    103 Hanover Heartland 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
    104 Hartwick Empire Eig 6 7 0 0 0 0 0
    105 Haverford Centennial 12 6 0 0 0 0 0
    106 Heidelberg Ohio 0 14 0 0 0 0 0
    107 Hendrix SAA 1 11 0 0 0 0 0
    108 Hilbert United Eas 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    109 Hollins Independen 0 7 0 0 0 0 0
    110 Hood MAC Common 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    111 Hope MIAA 10 7 0 0 0 0 0
    112 Huntingdon USA South 6 10 0 0 0 0 0
    113 Husson North Atla 1 8 0 0 0 0 0
    114 Illinois Tech Midwest 3 6 0 0 0 0 0
    115 Illinois Wesle CCIW 4 13 0 0 0 0 0
    116 Immaculata Atlantic E 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    117 Ithaca Liberty Le 17 4 0 0 0 0 0
    118 Johnson & Wale Independen 14 6 0 0 0 0 0
    119 John Carroll Ohio 10 6 0 0 0 0 0
    120 Juniata Landmark 10 6 0 0 0 0 0
    121 Kalamazoo MIAA 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    122 Kean NJAC 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    123 Keene State Little Eas 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    124 Kenyon North Atla 16 2 0 0 0 0 0
    125 Keuka Empire Eig 3 9 0 0 0 0 0
    126 Keystone CSAC 2 12 0 0 0 0 0
    127 King's MAC Freedo 3 12 0 0 0 0 0
    128 La Roche United Eas 1 11 0 0 0 0 0
    129 Lancaster Bibl United Eas 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
    130 Lasell Great Nort 7 9 0 0 0 0 0
    131 Lebanon Valley MAC Common 9 10 0 0 0 0 0
    132 Linfield Northwest 12 5 0 0 0 0 0
    133 Lycoming MAC Common 10 9 0 0 0 0 0
    134 Lynchburg Old Domini 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    135 Maine Maritime North Atla 8 8 0 0 0 0 0
    136 Maine-Farmingt Womens NCA 3 8 0 0 0 0 0
    137 Manhattanville MAC Freedo 6 9 0 0 0 0 0
    138 Marian (WI) Midwest 2 13 0 0 0 0 0
    139 Marietta Ohio 8 7 0 0 0 0 0
    140 Maritime Colle Skyline 12 3 0 0 0 0 0
    141 Mary Washingto Coast to C 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    142 Marymount Atlantic E 15 3 0 0 0 0 0
    143 Marywood Atlantic E 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    144 Massachusetts MASCAC 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    145 McDaniel Centennial 9 6 0 0 0 0 0
    146 MCLA MASCAC 1 11 0 0 0 0 0
    147 Medaille United Eas 9 8 0 0 0 0 0
    148 Merchant Marin Skyline 14 3 0 0 0 0 0
    149 Meredith USA South 14 6 0 0 0 0 0
    150 Messiah MAC Common 13 6 0 0 0 0 0
    151 Methodist USA South 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
    152 Middlebury NESCAC 22 1 0 0 0 0 0
    153 Misericordia MAC Freedo 10 7 0 0 0 0 0
    154 MIT NEWMAC 12 5 0 0 0 0 0
    155 Mitchell NECC 1 12 0 0 0 0 0
    156 Monmouth (IL) Midwest 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    157 Montclair Stat NJAC 7 6 0 0 0 0 0
    158 Moravian Landmark 8 10 0 0 0 0 0
    159 Morrisville United Eas 6 7 0 0 0 0 0
    160 Mt Aloysius United Eas 4 8 0 0 0 0 0
    161 Mt Holyoke NEWMAC 1 12 0 0 0 0 0
    162 Mount St Josep Heartland 3 8 0 0 0 0 0
    163 Mt St Mary Skyline 8 7 0 0 0 0 0
    164 Mt St Vincent Skyline 4 7 0 0 0 0 0
    165 Mt Union Ohio 12 5 0 0 0 0 0
    166 Muhlenberg Centennial 11 5 0 0 0 0 0
    167 Muskingum Ohio 3 11 0 0 0 0 0
    168 North Central CCIW 4 12 0 0 0 0 0
    169 Nazareth Empire Eig 8 10 0 0 0 0 0
    170 North Carolina USA South 4 13 0 0 0 0 0
    171 New England Co NECC 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    172 Neumann Atlantic E 9 8 0 0 0 0 0
    173 New Paltz SUNYAC 6 10 0 0 0 0 0
    174 Nichols Comm. Coas 11 7 0 0 0 0 0
    175 Northwestern ( Midwest 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    176 Norwich Great Nort 12 5 0 0 0 0 0
    177 Notre Dame (MD CSAC 7 6 0 0 0 0 0
    178 NVU-Lyndon North Atla 0 9 0 0 0 0 0
    179 Oberlin North Coas 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    180 Occidental SCIAC 7 9 0 0 0 0 0
    181 Oglethorpe SAA 11 5 0 0 0 0 0
    182 Ohio Northern Ohio 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    183 Old Westbury Skyline 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    184 Oneonta SUNYAC 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    185 Oswego SUNYAC 6 11 0 0 0 0 0
    186 Otterbein Ohio 8 8 0 0 0 0 0
    187 Ohio Wesleyan North Atla 11 5 0 0 0 0 0
    188 Pacific Northwest 2 14 0 0 0 0 0
    189 Pfeiffer USA South 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    190 Piedmont USA South 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    191 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    192 Plymouth State Little Eas 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
    193 Pomona Pitzer SCIAC 18 1 0 0 0 0 0
    194 Potsdam SUNYAC 7 9 0 0 0 0 0
    195 Penn State-Abi United Eas 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    196 Puget Sound Northwest 8 6 0 0 0 0 0
    197 Purchase Skyline 1 10 0 0 0 0 0
    198 Ramapo NJAC 2 11 0 0 0 0 0
    199 Randolph-Macon Old Domini 8 11 0 0 0 0 0
    200 Randolph Old Domini 4 9 0 0 0 0 0
    201 Redlands SCIAC 6 10 0 0 0 0 0
    202 Regis (MA) Great Nort 2 14 0 0 0 0 0
    203 Rensselaer Liberty Le 11 5 0 0 0 0 0
    204 Rhodes SAA 15 4 0 0 0 0 0
    205 Rhode Island C Little Eas 1 10 0 0 0 0 0
    206 RIT Liberty Le 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    207 Rivier Great Nort 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    208 Roanoke Old Domini 15 5 0 0 0 0 0
    209 Rochester Liberty Le 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    210 Roger Williams Comm. Coas 16 2 0 0 0 0 0
    211 Rowan NJAC 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
    212 Rutgers-Camden NJAC 2 11 0 0 0 0 0
    213 Sage Empire Eig 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    214 Salem State Little Eas 6 9 0 0 0 0 0
    215 Salisbury Coast to C 17 3 0 0 0 0 0
    216 Salve Regina Comm. Coas 8 5 0 0 0 0 0
    217 Scranton Landmark 13 6 0 0 0 0 0
    218 Sewanee SAA 14 5 0 0 0 0 0
    219 Shenandoah Old Domini 12 7 0 0 0 0 0
    220 Simmons Great Nort 16 3 0 0 0 0 0
    221 Skidmore Liberty Le 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    222 Smith College NEWMAC 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    223 Southern Maine Little Eas 11 7 0 0 0 0 0
    224 Southern Virgi Coast to C 11 7 0 0 0 0 0
    225 Southwestern Independen 13 2 0 0 0 0 0
    226 Springfield NEWMAC 14 6 0 0 0 0 0
    227 St John Fisher Empire Eig 10 9 0 0 0 0 0
    228 St Joseph (CT) Great Nort 6 11 0 0 0 0 0
    229 St Josephs (LI Skyline 4 8 0 0 0 0 0
    230 St Josephs Col Great Nort 20 1 0 0 0 0 0
    231 St Lawrence Liberty Le 16 3 0 0 0 0 0
    232 St Marys (IN) MIAA 11 7 0 0 0 0 0
    233 St Marys (MD) United Eas 13 6 0 0 0 0 0
    234 St Vincent Old Domini 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
    235 Stevens MAC Freedo 18 3 0 0 0 0 0
    236 Stevenson MAC Common 13 8 0 0 0 0 0
    237 Stockton NJAC 8 8 0 0 0 0 0
    238 SUNY Poly North Atla 1 12 0 0 0 0 0
    239 Susquehanna Landmark 9 8 0 0 0 0 0
    240 Swarthmore Centennial 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
    241 Sweet Briar CSAC 5 8 0 0 0 0 0
    242 TCNJ NJAC 18 3 0 0 0 0 0
    243 Thiel Presidents 6 5 0 0 0 0 0
    244 Thomas College North Atla 4 9 0 0 0 0 0
    245 Transylvania Heartland 11 10 0 0 0 0 0
    246 Trine MIAA 11 5 0 0 0 0 0
    247 Trinity NESCAC 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
    248 Tufts NESCAC 19 4 0 0 0 0 0
    249 UMass-Dartmout Little Eas 3 15 0 0 0 0 0
    250 University of Comm. Coas 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    251 Union Liberty Le 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    252 Ursinus Centennial 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    253 Utica Empire Eig 10 5 0 0 0 0 0
    254 Vassar Liberty Le 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    255 Virginia Wesle Old Domini 9 8 0 0 0 0 0
    256 Western Connec Little Eas 16 4 0 0 0 0 0
    257 Warren Wilson Womens NCA 2 9 0 0 0 0 0
    258 Wartburg Midwest 4 12 0 0 0 0 0
    259 Washington & J Presidents 12 5 0 0 0 0 0
    260 Washington & L Old Domini 19 3 0 0 0 0 0
    261 Washington Col Centennial 8 10 0 0 0 0 0
    262 Waynesburg Presidents 0 11 0 0 0 0 0
    263 Wellesley NEWMAC 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    264 Wells United Eas 2 10 0 0 0 0 0
    265 Wentworth Comm. Coas 4 10 0 0 0 0 0
    266 Wesleyan NESCAC 14 5 0 0 0 0 0
    267 Westfield Stat MASCAC 12 6 0 0 0 0 0
    268 Westminster (P Presidents 3 9 0 0 0 0 0
    269 Wheaton NEWMAC 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
    270 Whitman Northwest 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    271 Whittier SCIAC 6 10 0 0 0 0 0
    272 Whitworth Northwest 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    273 UW Eau Claire Independen 9 2 0 0 0 0 0
    274 UW La Crosse Independen 7 7 0 0 0 0 0
    275 UW River Falls Independen 14 2 0 0 0 0 0
    276 Widener MAC Common 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
    277 Wilkes MAC Freedo 3 12 0 0 0 0 0
    278 Willamette Northwest 12 5 0 0 0 0 0
    279 William Peace USA South 2 12 0 0 0 0 0
    280 William Smith Liberty Le 18 2 0 0 0 0 0
    281 Williams NESCAC 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    282 Wilson CSAC 5 8 0 0 0 0 0
    283 UW Stout Independen 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    284 Wittenberg North Atla 4 12 0 0 0 0 0
    285 Western New En Comm. Coas 12 7 0 0 0 0 0
    286 Wooster North Atla 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
    287 Worcester Stat MASCAC 11 8 0 0 0 0 0
    288 York MAC Common 15 6 0 0 0 0 0
    289 Spalding Heartland 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    290 Grove City Presidents 14 4 0 0 0 0 0
    291 Lake Forest Midwest 11 4 0 0 0 0 0
    292 St Benedict 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    293 William Jewell 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

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