•                               Updated: date = 06 01 2022 time = 06:56 PST

    NCAA TOURNAMENT ODDS WOMEN DIVISION I

    ODDS (%) are based on (1) Selection Criteria of NCAA Men's Division I, (2) games yet to be played, (3) estimated tournament seeding and (4) a Monte Carlo Technique. Invite is the probability of making the tournament; Final 8, Final 4 and Final 2 is the probability of reaching the quarterfinals, semifinals and finals and Champ is the probability of winning the tournament. Numbers in each column are the the probability in percent, e.g., "33" = 33% or 1 out of 3. RPI, SOS and QWF can be found here.

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    Rank Icon Team Conf W L Invite Final 8 Final 4 Final 2 Champ
    1 Akron MAC 2 15 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Albany America Ea 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    3 American Patriot Le 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    4 Army Patriot Le 12 6 0 0 0 0 0
    5 Arizona State Pac-12 11 8 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Binghamton America Ea 7 9 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Boston College Atlantic C 19 4 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Boston Univers Patriot Le 2 15 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Brown Ivy League 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Bryant Northeast 12 5 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Bucknell Patriot Le 6 10 0 0 0 0 0
    12 Butler Big East 7 9 0 0 0 0 0
    13 California Pac-12 2 16 0 0 0 0 0
    14 Campbell Big South 10 7 0 0 0 0 0
    15 Canisius Metro Atla 10 6 0 0 0 0 0
    16 Central Connec Northeast 2 12 0 0 0 0 0
    17 Central Michig MAC 12 8 0 0 0 0 0
    18 Cincinnati American 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    19 Colgate Patriot Le 6 12 0 0 0 0 0
    20 Colorado Pac-12 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
    21 Columbia Ivy League 2 13 0 0 0 0 0
    22 Cornell Ivy League 8 8 0 0 0 0 0
    23 Coastal Caroli Atlantic S 6 11 0 0 0 0 0
    24 Dartmouth Ivy League 3 12 0 0 0 0 0
    25 Davidson Atlantic 1 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
    26 Delaware Colonial 5 12 0 0 0 0 0
    27 Delaware State Atlantic S 1 13 0 0 0 0 0
    28 Denver Big East 18 3 0 0 0 0 0
    29 Detroit Mercy MAC 2 13 0 0 0 0 0
    30 Drexel Colonial 12 8 0 0 0 0 0
    31 Duke Atlantic C 16 4 0 0 0 0 0
    32 Duquesne Atlantic 1 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    33 East Carolina American 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    34 Eastern Michig 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
    35 Elon Colonial 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    36 Fairfield Metro Atla 13 7 0 0 0 0 0
    37 Florida American 17 5 0 0 0 0 0
    38 Furman Big South 8 8 0 0 0 0 0
    39 Gardner Webb Big South 10 9 0 0 0 0 0
    40 Georgetown Big East 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    41 George Mason Atlantic 1 3 14 0 0 0 0 0
    42 George Washing Atlantic 1 5 13 0 0 0 0 0
    43 Harvard Ivy League 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    44 High Point Big South 10 9 0 0 0 0 0
    45 Hofstra Colonial 9 8 0 0 0 0 0
    46 Holy Cross Patriot Le 6 10 0 0 0 0 0
    47 Howard Northeast 1 16 0 0 0 0 0
    48 Iona Metro Atla 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
    49 Jacksonville Atlantic S 14 5 0 0 0 0 0
    50 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 10 9 0 0 0 0 0
    51 James Madison Colonial 14 5 0 0 0 0 0
    52 Kennesaw State Atlantic S 11 7 0 0 0 0 0
    53 Kent State MAC 6 12 0 0 0 0 0
    54 La Salle Atlantic 1 5 12 0 0 0 0 0
    55 Lafayette Patriot Le 2 13 0 0 0 0 0
    56 Lehigh Patriot Le 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    57 Liberty Atlantic S 11 8 0 0 0 0 0
    58 LIU Northeast 6 12 0 0 0 0 0
    59 Longwood Big South 6 11 0 0 0 0 0
    60 Louisville Atlantic C 7 11 0 0 0 0 0
    61 Loyola Patriot Le 20 2 0 0 0 0 0
    62 Manhattan Metro Atla 11 8 0 0 0 0 0
    63 Marist Metro Atla 3 13 0 0 0 0 0
    64 Marquette WBig East 8 10 0 0 0 0 0
    65 Maryland Big Ten 19 2 0 0 0 0 0
    66 Mercer Big South 14 5 0 0 0 0 0
    67 Merrimack Northeast 4 12 0 0 0 0 0
    68 Michigan Big Ten 11 7 0 0 0 0 0
    69 Monmouth (NJ) Metro Atla 12 7 0 0 0 0 0
    70 Mount St Marys Northeast 15 5 0 0 0 0 0
    71 Navy Patriot Le 15 5 0 0 0 0 0
    72 Niagara Metro Atla 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    73 Northwestern Big Ten 16 5 0 0 0 0 0
    74 Notre Dame Atlantic C 9 10 0 0 0 0 0
    75 Old Dominion American 5 12 0 0 0 0 0
    76 Oregon Pac-12 4 14 0 0 0 0 0
    77 Ohio State Big Ten 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
    78 Penn Ivy League 6 9 0 0 0 0 0
    79 Pittsburgh Atlantic C 9 10 0 0 0 0 0
    80 Presbyterian Big South 2 15 0 0 0 0 0
    81 Princeton Ivy League 15 4 0 0 0 0 0
    82 Penn State Big Ten 6 9 0 0 0 0 0
    83 Quinnipiac Metro Atla 6 10 0 0 0 0 0
    84 Radford Big South 2 14 0 0 0 0 0
    85 Richmond Atlantic 1 14 4 0 0 0 0 0
    86 Robert Morris MAC 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    87 Rutgers Big Ten 16 5 0 0 0 0 0
    88 Sacred Heart Northeast 6 10 0 0 0 0 0
    89 San Diego Stat MPSF 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    90 Siena Metro Atla 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
    91 St Bonaventure Atlantic 1 1 14 0 0 0 0 0
    92 St Francis Northeast 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    93 St Josephs Atlantic 1 14 7 0 0 0 0 0
    94 Stanford Pac-12 12 7 0 0 0 0 0
    95 Stetson Atlantic S 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    96 Stony Brook America Ea 16 3 0 0 0 0 0
    97 Syracuse Atlantic C 15 6 0 0 0 0 0
    98 Temple American 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
    99 Towson Colonial 9 8 0 0 0 0 0
    100 UC Davis MPSF 5 8 0 0 0 0 0
    101 UConn Big East 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
    102 Massachusetts Atlantic 1 16 4 0 0 0 0 0
    103 Massachusetts- America Ea 4 13 0 0 0 0 0
    104 UMBC America Ea 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    105 North Carolina Atlantic C 22 0 0 0 0 0 0
    106 New Hampshire America Ea 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    107 USC Pac-12 13 5 0 0 0 0 0
    108 Virginia Tech Atlantic C 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    109 Vanderbilt American 11 7 0 0 0 0 0
    110 VCU Atlantic 1 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    111 Vermont America Ea 14 5 0 0 0 0 0
    112 Villanova Big East 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    113 Virginia Atlantic C 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
    114 William & Mary Colonial 4 12 0 0 0 0 0
    115 Wagner Northeast 8 10 0 0 0 0 0
    116 Winthrop Big South 4 14 0 0 0 0 0
    117 Wofford Big South 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    118 Yale Ivy League 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
    119 Youngstown Sta MAC 10 8 0 0 0 0 0

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