ODDS (%) are based on (1) Selection Criteria of NCAA Men's Division I, (2) games yet to be played, (3) estimated tournament seeding and (4) a Monte Carlo Technique. Invite is the probability of making the tournament; Final 8, Final 4 and Final 2 is the probability of reaching the quarterfinals, semifinals and finals and Champ is the probability of winning the tournament. Numbers in each column are the the probability in percent, e.g., "33" = 33% or 1 out of 3. RPI, SOS and QWF can be found here.
PRINT VERSIONRank | Icon | Team | Conf | W | L | Invite | Final 8 | Final 4 | Final 2 | Champ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() |
Akron | MAC | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | ![]() |
Albany | America Ea | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | ![]() |
American | Patriot Le | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | ![]() |
Army | Patriot Le | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | ![]() |
Arizona State | Pac-12 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | ![]() |
Binghamton | America Ea | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | ![]() |
Boston College | Atlantic C | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | ![]() |
Boston Univers | Patriot Le | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | ![]() |
Brown | Ivy League | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | ![]() |
Bryant | Northeast | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | ![]() |
Bucknell | Patriot Le | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | ![]() |
Butler | Big East | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | ![]() |
California | Pac-12 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | ![]() |
Campbell | Big South | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | ![]() |
Canisius | Metro Atla | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | ![]() |
Central Connec | Northeast | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | ![]() |
Central Michig | MAC | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | ![]() |
Cincinnati | American | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | ![]() |
Colgate | Patriot Le | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | ![]() |
Colorado | Pac-12 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | ![]() |
Columbia | Ivy League | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | ![]() |
Cornell | Ivy League | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | ![]() |
Coastal Caroli | Atlantic S | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | ![]() |
Dartmouth | Ivy League | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
25 | ![]() |
Davidson | Atlantic 1 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
26 | ![]() |
Delaware | Colonial | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
27 | ![]() |
Delaware State | Atlantic S | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28 | ![]() |
Denver | Big East | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
29 | ![]() |
Detroit Mercy | MAC | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
30 | ![]() |
Drexel | Colonial | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
31 | ![]() |
Duke | Atlantic C | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
32 | ![]() |
Duquesne | Atlantic 1 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
33 | ![]() |
East Carolina | American | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
34 | ![]() |
Eastern Michig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
35 | ![]() |
Elon | Colonial | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
36 | ![]() |
Fairfield | Metro Atla | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
37 | ![]() |
Florida | American | 17 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
38 | ![]() |
Furman | Big South | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
39 | ![]() |
Gardner Webb | Big South | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
40 | ![]() |
Georgetown | Big East | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
41 | ![]() |
George Mason | Atlantic 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
42 | ![]() |
George Washing | Atlantic 1 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
43 | ![]() |
Harvard | Ivy League | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
44 | ![]() |
High Point | Big South | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
45 | ![]() |
Hofstra | Colonial | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
46 | ![]() |
Holy Cross | Patriot Le | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
47 | ![]() |
Howard | Northeast | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
48 | ![]() |
Iona | Metro Atla | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
49 | ![]() |
Jacksonville | Atlantic S | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
50 | ![]() |
Johns Hopkins | Big Ten | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
51 | ![]() |
James Madison | Colonial | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
52 | ![]() |
Kennesaw State | Atlantic S | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
53 | ![]() |
Kent State | MAC | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
54 | ![]() |
La Salle | Atlantic 1 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
55 | ![]() |
Lafayette | Patriot Le | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
56 | ![]() |
Lehigh | Patriot Le | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
57 | ![]() |
Liberty | Atlantic S | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
58 | ![]() |
LIU | Northeast | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
59 | ![]() |
Longwood | Big South | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
60 | ![]() |
Louisville | Atlantic C | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
61 | ![]() |
Loyola | Patriot Le | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
62 | ![]() |
Manhattan | Metro Atla | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
63 | ![]() |
Marist | Metro Atla | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
64 | ![]() |
Marquette | WBig East | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
65 | ![]() |
Maryland | Big Ten | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
66 | ![]() |
Mercer | Big South | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
67 | ![]() |
Merrimack | Northeast | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
68 | ![]() |
Michigan | Big Ten | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
69 | ![]() |
Monmouth (NJ) | Metro Atla | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
70 | ![]() |
Mount St Marys | Northeast | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
71 | ![]() |
Navy | Patriot Le | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
72 | ![]() |
Niagara | Metro Atla | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
73 | ![]() |
Northwestern | Big Ten | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
74 | ![]() |
Notre Dame | Atlantic C | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
75 | ![]() |
Old Dominion | American | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
76 | ![]() |
Oregon | Pac-12 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
77 | ![]() |
Ohio State | Big Ten | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
78 | ![]() |
Penn | Ivy League | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
79 | ![]() |
Pittsburgh | Atlantic C | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
80 | ![]() |
Presbyterian | Big South | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
81 | ![]() |
Princeton | Ivy League | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
82 | ![]() |
Penn State | Big Ten | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
83 | ![]() |
Quinnipiac | Metro Atla | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
84 | ![]() |
Radford | Big South | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
85 | ![]() |
Richmond | Atlantic 1 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
86 | ![]() |
Robert Morris | MAC | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
87 | ![]() |
Rutgers | Big Ten | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
88 | ![]() |
Sacred Heart | Northeast | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
89 | ![]() |
San Diego Stat | MPSF | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
90 | ![]() |
Siena | Metro Atla | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
91 | ![]() |
St Bonaventure | Atlantic 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
92 | ![]() |
St Francis | Northeast | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
93 | ![]() |
St Josephs | Atlantic 1 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
94 | ![]() |
Stanford | Pac-12 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
95 | ![]() |
Stetson | Atlantic S | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
96 | ![]() |
Stony Brook | America Ea | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
97 | ![]() |
Syracuse | Atlantic C | 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
98 | ![]() |
Temple | American | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
99 | ![]() |
Towson | Colonial | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
100 | ![]() |
UC Davis | MPSF | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
101 | ![]() |
UConn | Big East | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
102 | ![]() |
Massachusetts | Atlantic 1 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
103 | ![]() |
Massachusetts- | America Ea | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
104 | ![]() |
UMBC | America Ea | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
105 | ![]() |
North Carolina | Atlantic C | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
106 | ![]() |
New Hampshire | America Ea | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
107 | ![]() |
USC | Pac-12 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
108 | ![]() |
Virginia Tech | Atlantic C | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
109 | ![]() |
Vanderbilt | American | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
110 | ![]() |
VCU | Atlantic 1 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
111 | ![]() |
Vermont | America Ea | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
112 | ![]() |
Villanova | Big East | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
113 | ![]() |
Virginia | Atlantic C | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
114 | ![]() |
William & Mary | Colonial | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
115 | ![]() |
Wagner | Northeast | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
116 | ![]() |
Winthrop | Big South | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
117 | ![]() |
Wofford | Big South | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
118 | ![]() |
Yale | Ivy League | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
119 | ![]() |
Youngstown Sta | MAC | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |