WOMENS DIVISION II AT-LARGE PROBABILITIES

Updated: date = 10 02 2021 time = 18:31 PST



Accuracy: 45/55 (86%) for last few years excluding 2021
The format for the NCAA Division II Women s Lacrosse Championship is a sixteen-team, single-elimination tournament. Teams must play a minimum of 10 games in-region and have at least a .500 record, and regular-season games tied after regulation must be decided in overtime. Each region (EastAtlantic, South and Midwest) will have six teams, and teams will be paired within region. The prediction is based on the rankings of region record, division record, record against teams with a 50% winning record and sos in-region. See NCAA for more info. Primary Factors for Selecting Teams [1] In-region Division II won-lost results [2] Overall division II won-lost results [3] Strength of schedule in-region [-] Division II Head-to-head competition [-] Results vs. common opponents [4] Results vs. teams with records above .500 [-] Performance indicator (not defined by NCAA)
Algorithm
EAST Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOURN W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 Mercy 100.00 4 8 0 5 8 2 0 12 2 0 2 Roberts Wes 100.00 3 5 0 2 9 1 0 14 2 0 3 Le Moyne 92.00 1 2 0 28 13 1 0 13 1 0 4 Bentley 86.00 2 4 0 6 11 1 0 11 1 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Adelphi 14.00 7 31 0 13 9 4 0 9 4 0 6 St Anselm 7.00 5 22 0 17 6 2 0 6 2 0 7 Frank Pierce 1.00 8 33 0 18 6 3 0 6 3 0 8 AIC 0.00 16 85 0 47 2 9 0 2 9 0 9 Assumption 0.00 6 29 0 27 7 3 0 7 3 0 10 Bridgeport 0.00 15 82 0 70 1 4 0 1 4 0 11 D'Youville 0.00 19 85 0 100 0 6 0 2 9 0 12 Molloy 0.00 11 50 0 12 3 4 0 4 5 0 13 New Haven 0.00 10 48 0 22 6 7 0 6 7 0 14 Pace 0.00 9 37 0 50 7 4 0 7 4 0 15 S Connecticut 0.00 14 77 0 49 2 6 0 2 6 0 16 SNHU 0.00 17 88 0 39 2 10 0 2 10 0 17 St Michaels 0.00 19 93 0 58 0 10 0 1 10 0 18 St Rose 0.00 18 96 0 53 1 11 0 1 11 0 19 St Thomas Aqui 0.00 13 50 0 56 2 5 0 4 5 0 20 Stonehill 0.00 12 62 0 44 3 5 0 3 5 0 ATLANTIC Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOURN W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 ESU 100.00 5 23 0 1 10 3 0 11 4 0 2 Georgian Ct 100.00 1 8 0 10 11 0 0 12 2 0 3 Seton Hill 100.00 4 18 0 15 11 3 0 11 3 0 4 West Chester 100.00 2 2 0 14 12 1 0 13 1 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Bloomsburg 0.00 10 40 0 25 6 6 0 8 6 0 6 Caldwell 0.00 14 82 0 78 2 5 0 2 8 0 7 Chestnut Hill 0.00 18 99 0 93 0 6 0 0 6 0 8 Dominican 0.00 18 99 0 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 Edinboro 0.00 18 67 0 67 0 1 0 1 2 0 10 Felician 0.00 18 99 0 105 0 5 0 0 5 0 11 Gannon 0.00 18 93 0 75 0 9 0 1 10 0 12 Holy Family 0.00 15 80 0 92 2 6 0 2 7 0 13 Indiana PA 0.00 9 45 0 40 6 5 0 6 6 0 14 Kutztown 0.00 17 97 0 43 1 10 0 1 12 0 15 Lock Haven 0.00 11 63 0 72 4 6 0 4 7 0 16 Mercyhurst 0.00 6 27 0 42 8 4 0 10 4 0 17 Millersville 0.00 16 75 0 30 2 8 0 3 8 0 18 Nyack 0.00 18 99 0 96 0 3 0 0 3 0 19 Post 0.00 8 39 0 95 6 4 0 6 4 0 20 Shippensburg 0.00 12 60 0 34 4 7 0 5 8 0 21 Slippery Rock 0.00 12 54 0 60 4 7 0 5 7 0 22 TJU 0.00 3 21 0 87 9 2 0 10 3 0 23 WilmingtonDE 0.00 6 42 0 103 6 3 0 6 5 0 SOUTH Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOURN W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 Limestone 100.00 5 15 0 9 11 3 0 12 3 0 2 Mt Olive 100.00 2 8 0 21 12 2 0 12 2 0 3 Queens 100.00 1 5 0 3 11 0 0 14 2 0 4 Wingate 88.00 7 18 0 29 10 3 0 11 3 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Belmont Abbey 7.00 9 23 0 23 11 4 0 11 4 0 6 Tampa 5.00 10 20 0 31 5 2 0 7 2 0 7 Barton 0.00 11 33 0 84 5 3 0 6 3 0 8 Catawba 0.00 29 99 0 32 0 4 0 0 5 0 9 Chowan 0.00 22 77 0 94 2 6 0 2 6 0 10 Coker 0.00 23 75 0 98 2 7 0 3 8 0 11 Converse 0.00 29 99 0 86 0 9 0 0 9 0 12 Emmanuel GA 0.00 29 99 0 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 ERAU 0.00 29 99 0 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 Erskine 0.00 26 89 0 99 1 6 0 1 6 0 15 Florida So 0.00 2 5 0 69 6 1 0 7 1 0 16 Florida Tech 0.00 26 77 0 59 1 6 0 2 6 0 17 Lander 0.00 17 72 0 66 3 6 0 3 7 0 18 Lee 0.00 6 31 0 71 7 2 0 9 4 0 19 Lees-McRae 0.00 17 52 0 97 2 4 0 3 4 0 20 Lenoir-Rhyne 0.00 12 54 0 45 5 5 0 5 7 0 21 Lincoln Mem 0.00 17 74 0 57 2 4 0 2 5 0 22 Lynn 0.00 26 80 0 76 1 6 0 2 7 0 23 Mars Hill 0.00 23 82 0 54 2 7 0 2 8 0 24 Montevallo 0.00 12 33 0 89 4 4 0 8 4 0 25 N Greenville 0.00 15 52 0 20 6 8 0 6 8 0 26 Newberry 0.00 14 58 0 74 4 5 0 4 6 0 27 Rollins 0.00 4 8 0 55 5 1 0 6 1 0 28 S Wesleyan 0.00 17 67 0 64 4 8 0 4 8 0 29 Shorter 0.00 29 99 0 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 St Leo 0.00 16 45 0 68 3 5 0 5 5 0 31 Tusculum 0.00 25 89 0 52 1 5 0 1 6 0 32 UAH 0.00 8 15 0 77 6 2 0 12 3 0 33 Young Harris 0.00 21 67 0 11 3 7 0 4 8 0 MIDWEST Rnk Rnk Rnk Rnk REG TOTAL RNK TEAMNAME TOURN W-L W-L W-L SOS W L T W L T PROB REG D2 >50% [1] [2] [4] [3] 1 Indianapolis 100.00 5 8 0 8 11 2 0 12 2 0 2 Lindenwood 100.00 1 1 0 4 14 0 0 16 0 0 3 Regis CO 100.00 4 8 0 7 12 2 0 12 2 0 4 GVSU 97.00 2 14 0 16 10 1 0 11 2 0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 Notre Dame OH 3.00 2 15 0 26 10 1 0 12 3 0 6 Adams State 0.00 26 99 0 85 0 8 0 0 8 0 7 AldersonBroad 0.00 15 63 0 83 4 5 0 4 7 0 8 Ashland 0.00 26 97 0 88 0 12 0 1 12 0 9 Charleston 0.00 20 65 0 46 4 7 0 5 9 0 10 Colorado Mesa 0.00 11 38 0 62 7 5 0 8 5 0 11 Colorado-CS 0.00 7 26 0 104 7 3 0 8 3 0 12 Concordia-SP 0.00 23 72 0 24 3 7 0 3 7 0 13 CSU Pueblo 0.00 20 67 0 61 4 7 0 4 8 0 14 Davenport 0.00 8 23 0 90 9 4 0 11 4 0 15 Davis&Elkins 0.00 9 49 0 73 5 3 0 5 6 0 16 Findlay 0.00 14 45 0 36 6 6 0 6 6 0 17 Fort Lewis 0.00 16 54 0 102 5 7 0 5 7 0 18 Lake Erie 0.00 26 99 0 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 Lewis 0.00 18 60 0 101 4 6 0 5 8 0 20 Maryville 0.00 25 93 0 79 1 10 0 1 10 0 21 McKendree 0.00 9 29 0 33 5 3 0 7 3 0 22 MO Western 0.00 18 54 0 65 4 6 0 5 7 0 23 N Michigan 0.00 13 44 0 48 7 6 0 7 6 0 24 Oklahoma Bap 0.00 26 99 0 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 Quincy 0.00 26 92 0 81 0 7 0 1 9 0 26 Rockhurst 0.00 12 42 0 41 5 4 0 6 5 0 27 Shepherd 0.00 26 58 0 51 0 0 0 4 6 0 28 Tiffin 0.00 16 65 0 19 5 7 0 5 9 0 29 Upper Iowa 0.00 26 99 0 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 Ursuline 0.00 24 85 0 91 2 9 0 2 9 0 31 UVA Wise 0.00 26 40 0 35 0 0 0 8 6 0 32 Walsh 0.00 6 36 0 37 8 3 0 9 5 0 33 Westminster UT 0.00 22 67 0 63 3 6 0 3 6 0 34 Wheeling 0.00 26 99 0 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 35 WV Wesleyan 0.00 26 99 0 82 0 8 0 0 10 0