WOMEN S DIVISION I AUTOMATIC QUALIFIER AND AT-LARGE PROBABILITIES
Updated: date = 06 01 2022 time = 06:56 PST
Accuracy: 47/52 (90%) for last few years excluding 2021
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The NCAA Division I Women s Lacrosse Championship is a 28-team single-elimination tournament, with
the top 8 teams seeded. Fifteen conferences receive a berth via automatic qualification (AQ).
The remaining 13 teams selected at large. If a team has an AQ bid, then its at-large probability
goes to 0.00. TOP WLT = record against top teams. Lst 6 = last 6 games.
Primary Criteria for Selecting At-Large Teams
[1] Won-loss record
[2] Strength of schedule
[3] Rating Percentage Index (RPI)
[-] Head-to-head competition
[-] Results vs. common opponents
[4] Significant wins/losses (based on RPI of two teams)
[5] Evaluation of the 10 highest-rated teams on an inst. schedule (defined by SOS and W-L%)
Secondary Criteria for Selecting At-Large Teams
[6] Late-season performance (last six games)
[-] Results against teams already selected (AQ and At-Large).
Algorithm
RNK TEAMNAME CONFERENCE TOURN AQ
PROB PROB RPI QW SOS W L
[3] [4] [2]
1 Akron MAC 0.00 0.00 116 116 114 2 15
2 Albany America East 0.00 0.00 41 67 36 8 9
3 American Patriot League 0.00 0.00 79 71 95 9 9
4 Army Patriot League 0.00 0.00 35 32 39 12 6
5 Arizona State Pac-12 0.00 0.00 28 38 19 11 8
6 Binghamton America East 0.00 0.00 65 69 66 7 9
7 Boston College Atlantic Coast 0.00 0.00 2 3 1 19 4
8 Boston University Patriot League 0.00 0.00 99 110 46 2 15
9 Brown Ivy League 0.00 0.00 59 54 62 7 8
10 Bryant Northeast 0.00 0.00 64 36 108 12 5
11 Bucknell Patriot League 0.00 0.00 86 82 85 6 10
12 Butler Big East 0.00 0.00 91 76 103 7 9
13 California Pac-12 0.00 0.00 93 117 54 2 16
14 Campbell Big South 0.00 0.00 75 57 106 10 7
15 Canisius Metro Atlantic 0.00 0.00 49 46 93 10 6
16 Central Connecticut Northeast 0.00 0.00 111 103 105 2 12
17 Central Michigan MAC 0.00 0.00 71 50 100 12 8
18 Cincinnati American 0.00 0.00 66 78 76 7 10
19 Colgate Patriot League 0.00 0.00 82 96 69 6 12
20 Colorado Pac-12 0.00 0.00 43 41 49 11 6
21 Columbia Ivy League 0.00 0.00 98 105 90 2 13
22 Cornell Ivy League 0.00 0.00 54 55 60 8 8
23 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 0.00 0.00 84 86 67 6 11
24 Dartmouth Ivy League 0.00 0.00 70 85 33 3 12
25 Davidson Atlantic 10 0.00 0.00 38 28 56 13 5
26 Delaware Colonial 0.00 0.00 67 91 48 5 12
27 Delaware State Atlantic Sun 0.00 0.00 117 108 117 1 13
28 Denver Big East 0.00 0.00 10 10 18 18 3
29 Detroit Mercy MAC 0.00 0.00 114 107 109 2 13
30 Drexel Colonial 0.00 0.00 37 39 40 12 8
31 Duke Atlantic Coast 0.00 0.00 13 9 23 16 4
32 Duquesne Atlantic 10 0.00 0.00 76 84 82 7 10
33 East Carolina American 0.00 0.00 58 51 45 9 9
34 Elon Colonial 0.00 0.00 77 87 75 5 11
35 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 0.00 0.00 33 40 43 13 7
36 Florida American 0.00 0.00 5 8 5 17 5
37 Furman Big South 0.00 0.00 62 59 57 8 8
38 Gardner Webb Big South 0.00 0.00 87 72 94 10 9
39 Georgetown Big East 0.00 0.00 40 43 21 9 9
40 George Mason Atlantic 10 0.00 0.00 102 111 68 3 14
41 George Washington Atlantic 10 0.00 0.00 90 104 72 5 13
42 Harvard Ivy League 0.00 0.00 53 52 47 7 8
43 High Point Big South 0.00 0.00 46 60 26 10 9
44 Hofstra Colonial 0.00 0.00 52 58 51 9 8
45 Holy Cross Patriot League 0.00 0.00 85 83 84 6 10
46 Howard Northeast 0.00 0.00 118 119 118 1 16
47 Iona Metro Atlantic 0.00 0.00 78 61 107 9 7
48 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 0.00 0.00 15 15 32 14 5
49 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 0.00 0.00 16 30 13 10 9
50 James Madison Colonial 0.00 0.00 12 13 12 14 5
51 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 0.00 0.00 73 44 92 11 7
52 Kent State MAC 0.00 0.00 107 98 115 6 12
53 La Salle Atlantic 10 0.00 0.00 94 99 81 5 12
54 Lafayette Patriot League 0.00 0.00 103 106 87 2 13
55 Lehigh Patriot League 0.00 0.00 57 62 52 9 9
56 Liberty Atlantic Sun 0.00 0.00 44 42 41 11 8
57 LIU Northeast 0.00 0.00 104 100 97 6 12
58 Longwood Big South 0.00 0.00 108 94 116 6 11
59 Louisville Atlantic Coast 0.00 0.00 42 64 24 7 11
60 Loyola Patriot League 0.00 0.00 8 4 14 20 2
61 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 0.00 0.00 60 63 71 11 8
62 Marist Metro Atlantic 0.00 0.00 96 109 79 3 13
63 Marquette WBig East 0.00 0.00 63 73 70 8 10
64 Maryland Big Ten 0.00 0.00 3 2 7 19 2
65 Mercer Big South 0.00 0.00 34 16 37 14 5
66 Merrimack Northeast 0.00 0.00 109 101 113 4 12
67 Michigan Big Ten 0.00 0.00 18 20 22 11 7
68 Monmouth (NJ) Metro Atlantic 0.00 0.00 48 47 59 12 7
69 Mount St Marys Northeast 0.00 0.00 45 25 65 15 5
70 Navy Patriot League 0.00 0.00 29 21 34 15 5
71 Niagara Metro Atlantic 0.00 0.00 56 75 78 9 9
72 Northwestern Big Ten 0.00 0.00 4 5 3 16 5
73 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 0.00 0.00 20 33 8 9 10
74 Old Dominion American 0.00 0.00 101 97 88 5 12
75 Oregon Pac-12 0.00 0.00 89 112 64 4 14
76 Ohio State Big Ten 0.00 0.00 23 29 31 9 7
77 Penn Ivy League 0.00 0.00 47 53 27 6 9
78 Pittsburgh Atlantic Coast 0.00 0.00 50 48 28 9 10
79 Presbyterian Big South 0.00 0.00 115 118 110 2 15
80 Princeton Ivy League 0.00 0.00 11 12 11 15 4
81 Penn State Big Ten 0.00 0.00 25 45 16 6 9
82 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 0.00 0.00 80 88 91 6 10
83 Radford Big South 0.00 0.00 112 114 104 2 14
84 Richmond Atlantic 10 0.00 0.00 31 18 58 14 4
85 Robert Morris MAC 0.00 0.00 81 77 101 9 9
86 Rutgers Big Ten 0.00 0.00 9 11 10 16 5
87 Sacred Heart Northeast 0.00 0.00 100 89 96 6 10
88 San Diego State MPSF 0.00 0.00 55 49 50 7 8
89 Siena Metro Atlantic 0.00 0.00 51 65 74 10 8
90 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 0.00 0.00 113 115 102 1 14
91 St Francis Northeast 1 0.00 0.00 110 95 111 5 11
92 St Josephs Atlantic 10 0.00 0.00 30 34 17 14 7
93 Stanford Pac-12 0.00 0.00 27 37 25 12 7
94 Stetson Atlantic Sun 0.00 0.00 95 90 80 4 11
95 Stony Brook America East 0.00 0.00 7 6 9 16 3
96 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 0.00 0.00 6 7 6 15 6
97 Temple American 0.00 0.00 22 26 29 11 6
98 Towson Colonial 0.00 0.00 39 56 53 9 8
99 UC Davis MPSF 0.00 0.00 72 70 77 5 8
100 UConn Big East 0.00 0.00 17 19 30 13 5
101 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 0.00 0.00 19 14 15 16 4
102 Massachusetts-Lowell America East 0.00 0.00 92 102 61 4 13
103 UMBC America East 0.00 0.00 61 74 83 8 9
104 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 0.00 0.00 1 1 2 22 0
105 New Hampshire America East 0.00 0.00 74 66 86 7 8
106 USC Pac-12 0.00 0.00 21 23 42 13 5
107 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 0.00 0.00 36 35 20 9 9
108 Vanderbilt American 0.00 0.00 26 31 35 11 7
109 VCU Atlantic 10 0.00 0.00 88 80 89 7 10
110 Vermont America East 0.00 0.00 32 22 55 14 5
111 Villanova Big East 0.00 0.00 69 79 44 5 11
112 Virginia Atlantic Coast 0.00 0.00 14 27 4 10 10
113 William & Mary Colonial 0.00 0.00 83 92 73 4 12
114 Wagner Northeast 0.00 0.00 68 81 63 8 10
115 Winthrop Big South 0.00 0.00 106 113 99 4 14
116 Wofford Big South 0.00 0.00 105 93 98 5 11
117 Yale Ivy League 0.00 0.00 24 24 38 11 6
118 Youngstown State MAC 0.00 0.00 97 68 112 10 8