•                               Updated: date = 06 01 2022 time = 06:57 PST

    NCAA TOURNAMENT ODDS MEN DIVISION III

    ODDS (%) are based on (1) Selection Criteria of NCAA Men's Division I, (2) games yet to be played, (3) estimated tournament seeding and (4) a Monte Carlo Technique. Invite is the probability of making the tournament; Final 8, Final 4 and Final 2 is the probability of reaching the quarterfinals, semifinals and finals and Champ is the probability of winning the tournament. Numbers in each column are the the probability in percent, e.g., "33" = 33% or 1 out of 3. RPI, SOS and QWF can be found here.

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    Rank Icon Team Conf W L Invite Final 8 Final 4 Final 2 Champ
    1 Albion MIAA 15 5 10 8 1 0 0
    2 Bowdoin NESCAC 18 3 10 29 6 4 0
    3 Dickinson Centennial 19 1 10 25 11 5 0
    4 MIT NEWMAC 17 1 10 56 13 3 0
    5 RIT Liberty 22 1 10 89 60 42 2
    6 Salisbury C2C 20 2 10 52 35 19 0
    7 St John Fisher Empire 8 16 3 10 61 30 18 1
    8 St Lawrence Liberty 14 5 10 78 38 19 0
    9 Tufts NESCAC 19 3 10 88 67 29 2
    10 Union Liberty 18 3 10 87 73 42 2
    11 York MAC-C 20 3 10 75 26 4 0
    12 Denison NCAC 16 5 9 14 4 2 0
    13 Cabrini AEC 16 5 9 7 3 0 0
    14 JCU OAC 17 3 9 13 2 1 0
    15 Grove City PAC 15 5 9 6 2 2 0
    16 Lynchburg ODAC 15 5 9 9 3 0 0
    17 Gettysburg Centennial 14 8 8 22 10 3 0
    18 Catholic Landmark 13 5 8 6 2 1 0
    19 Illinois Wesle CCIW 11 5 7 1 0 0 0
    20 So Virginia USA South 14 5 7 2 0 0 0
    21 Stockton CSAC 17 3 7 1 1 0 0
    22 Cortland SUNYAC 12 7 6 19 5 4 0
    23 Dubuque MLC 12 7 6 0 0 0 0
    24 St Marys United Eas 14 4 6 0 0 0 0
    25 Hope MIAA 15 3 5 1 0 0 0
    26 UMassBoston LEC 17 3 5 1 0 0 0
    27 WNEU CCC 15 6 5 6 2 1 0
    28 Stevens MAC-F 13 8 5 5 1 0 0
    29 Aurora NACC 13 6 4 0 0 0 0
    30 Maritime Skyline 11 8 4 0 0 0 0
    31 Norwich GNAC 19 2 4 0 0 0 0
    32 Morrisville United Eas 11 3 3 0 0 0 0
    33 Baldwin Wallac OAC 14 4 3 1 0 0 0
    34 Birmingham-Sou SAA 12 4 3 0 0 0 0
    35 Endicott CCC 10 6 3 2 0 0 0
    36 F & M Centennial 12 4 3 1 0 0 0
    37 Lasell GNAC 12 7 3 0 0 0 0
    38 Delhi NAC 8 7 3 0 0 0 0
    39 Centre SAA 9 6 3 0 0 0 0
    40 Maine Maritime NAC 9 7 3 0 0 0 0
    41 Farmingdale Skyline 12 4 2 0 0 0 0
    42 Stevenson MAC-C 13 6 2 4 2 1 0
    43 Wash & Lee ODAC 12 7 2 6 0 0 0
    44 Keene State LEC 12 5 2 1 0 0 0
    45 Transylvania CCIW 11 6 2 0 0 0 0
    46 Elizabethtown Landmark 11 7 2 3 1 0 0
    47 SUNY Poly NAC 7 6 2 0 0 0 0
    48 OWU NCAC 10 6 2 2 0 0 0
    49 Springfield NEWMAC 8 9 2 0 0 0 0
    50 WestConn LEC 14 4 2 0 0 0 0
    51 Benedictine NACC 11 7 2 0 0 0 0
    52 MSOE NACC 11 5 2 0 0 0 0
    53 Geneseo SUNYAC 9 8 1 4 0 0 0
    54 Lake Forest MLC 8 6 1 0 0 0 0
    55 Montclair Stat CSAC 11 6 1 0 0 0 0
    56 Arcadia MAC-F 12 6 1 0 0 0 0
    57 Kean CSAC 9 6 1 0 0 0 0
    58 Sewanee SAA 10 9 1 0 0 0 0
    59 Canton NAC 9 7 1 0 0 0 0
    60 Rhodes SAA 5 12 1 0 0 0 0
    61 Merchant Marin Skyline 9 7 1 0 0 0 0
    62 Muhlenberg Centennial 9 6 1 1 0 0 0
    63 Randolph-Macon ODAC 11 7 1 0 0 0 0
    64 Babson NEWMAC 8 9 1 1 0 0 0
    65 DeSales MAC-F 10 6 1 2 0 0 0
    66 Misericordia MAC-F 12 6 1 0 0 0 0
    67 N Central IL CCIW 8 8 1 0 0 0 0
    68 Nazareth Empire 8 9 7 1 2 0 0 0
    69 Roanoke ODAC 13 7 1 2 0 0 0
    70 Kenyon NCAC 14 4 1 0 0 0 0
    71 Pfeiffer USA South 12 4 1 0 0 0 0
    72 Brockport SUNYAC 10 5 1 0 0 0 0
    73 Rivier GNAC 14 4 1 0 0 0 0
    74 St Josephs LI Skyline 6 7 1 0 0 0 0
    75 Concordia-Wisc NACC 10 7 1 0 0 0 0
    76 Piedmont USA South 10 8 1 0 0 0 0
    77 RPI Liberty 10 6 1 4 0 0 0
    78 Ursinus Centennial 8 8 1 0 0 0 0
    79 Wesleyan NESCAC 13 6 1 1 1 0 0
    80 Coast Guard NEWMAC 9 8 0 0 0 0 0
    81 Amherst NESCAC 10 7 0 1 0 0 0
    82 Scranton Landmark 11 7 0 0 0 0 0
    83 St Vincent PAC 12 2 0 1 1 0 0
    84 Cornell Colleg MLC 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    85 Dean College GNAC 10 5 0 0 0 0 0
    86 JWU-Prov GNAC 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
    87 Carthage CCIW 12 5 0 0 0 0 0
    88 Salve Regina CCC 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    89 Adrian MIAA 11 4 0 0 0 0 0
    90 Trine MIAA 7 5 0 0 0 0 0
    91 Monmouth IL MLC 6 7 0 0 0 0 0
    92 Oberlin NCAC 12 5 0 0 0 0 0
    93 Greensboro USA South 11 7 0 0 0 0 0
    94 Marymount AEC 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    95 ONU OAC 12 5 0 0 0 0 0
    96 Otterbein OAC 8 8 0 0 0 0 0
    97 Mass Maritime LEC 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    98 Middlebury NESCAC 8 8 0 0 0 0 0
    99 Northland MLC 7 6 0 0 0 0 0
    100 Roger Williams CCC 9 11 0 0 0 0 0
    101 Westminster PA PAC 8 5 0 0 0 0 0
    102 Eastern MAC-C 8 10 0 0 0 0 0
    103 Neumann AEC 11 8 0 0 0 0 0
    104 Oneonta SUNYAC 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    105 Oswego SUNYAC 8 6 0 0 0 0 0
    106 Albertus Magnu GNAC 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    107 Albright MAC-C 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    108 Alfred Empire 8 9 5 0 0 0 0 0
    109 Allegheny NCAC 4 13 0 0 0 0 0
    110 Alma MIAA 4 10 0 0 0 0 0
    111 Alvernia MAC-C 1 15 0 0 0 0 0
    112 Anderson IN HCLC North 8 7 0 0 0 0 0
    113 Anna Maria GNAC 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    114 Augustana CCIW 9 6 0 0 0 0 0
    115 Averett USA South 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    116 Bates NESCAC 1 12 0 0 0 0 0
    117 Beloit MLC 2 12 0 0 0 0 0
    118 Berry SAA 7 7 0 0 0 0 0
    119 Bethany PAC 5 8 0 0 0 0 0
    120 Brevard USA South 2 12 0 0 0 0 0
    121 Bridgewater ODAC 10 8 0 0 0 0 0
    122 Bryn Athyn CSAC 1 8 0 0 0 0 0
    123 Cairn CSAC 3 9 0 0 0 0 0
    124 Calvin MIAA 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    125 Capital OAC 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    126 Carroll CCIW 1 10 0 0 0 0 0
    127 Castleton LEC 2 14 0 0 0 0 0
    128 Centenary LA HCLC South 4 8 0 0 0 0 0
    129 Centenary NJ CSAC 1 9 0 0 0 0 0
    130 Chatham PAC 6 11 0 0 0 0 0
    131 Clark NEWMAC 3 11 0 0 0 0 0
    132 Clarkson Liberty 11 5 0 0 0 0 0
    133 CNU C2C 18 2 0 0 0 0 0
    134 Cobleskill NAC 3 6 0 0 0 0 0
    135 Colby NESCAC 6 7 0 0 0 0 0
    136 Colorado Colle HCLC South 7 9 0 0 0 0 0
    137 Concordia-Chic NACC 0 13 0 0 0 0 0
    138 Conn College NESCAC 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    139 Curry CCC 5 12 0 0 0 0 0
    140 Dallas HCLC South 1 2 0 0 0 0 0
    141 Del Vallley MAC-F 6 11 0 0 0 0 0
    142 DePauw NCAC 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    143 Drew Landmark 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
    144 Ea Conn LEC 6 10 0 0 0 0 0
    145 Ea Nazarene NECC 0 12 0 0 0 0 0
    146 Earlham HCLC North 2 13 0 0 0 0 0
    147 Edgewood NACC 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    148 Elmhurst CCIW 9 6 0 0 0 0 0
    149 Emerson NEWMAC 12 6 0 0 0 0 0
    150 Emmanuel MA GNAC 6 9 0 0 0 0 0
    151 FDU-Florham MAC-F 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    152 Ferrum ODAC 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    153 Franciscan PAC 4 9 0 0 0 0 0
    154 Gordon CCC 2 11 0 0 0 0 0
    155 Goucher Landmark 2 14 0 0 0 0 0
    156 Guilford ODAC 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    157 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 5 12 0 0 0 0 0
    158 Hamilton NESCAC 7 7 0 0 0 0 0
    159 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 13 7 0 0 0 0 0
    160 Hanover HCLC North 10 5 0 0 0 0 0
    161 Hartwick Empire 8 6 6 0 0 0 0 0
    162 Haverford Centennial 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    163 Heidelberg OAC 1 16 0 0 0 0 0
    164 Hendrix SAA 6 8 0 0 0 0 0
    165 Hilbert United Eas 4 7 0 0 0 0 0
    166 Hiram NCAC 4 10 0 0 0 0 0
    167 Hood MAC-C 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    168 Huntingdon USA South 4 13 0 0 0 0 0
    169 Husson NAC 6 11 0 0 0 0 0
    170 Illinois Tech NACC 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    171 Immaculata AEC 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    172 Ithaca Liberty 10 6 0 0 0 0 0
    173 Juniata Landmark 1 13 0 0 0 0 0
    174 Kalamazoo MIAA 3 11 0 0 0 0 0
    175 Keuka Empire 8 3 9 0 0 0 0 0
    176 Keystone CSAC 0 10 0 0 0 0 0
    177 Kings MAC-F 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
    178 La Roche United Eas 0 11 0 0 0 0 0
    179 LaGrange USA South 7 9 0 0 0 0 0
    180 Lebanon Valley MAC-C 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    181 Lycoming MAC-F 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    182 Manhattanville Skyline 4 10 0 0 0 0 0
    183 Marian NACC 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    184 Marietta OAC 4 12 0 0 0 0 0
    185 Mary Washingto C2C 8 10 0 0 0 0 0
    186 Marywood AEC 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
    187 McDaniel Centennial 4 13 0 0 0 0 0
    188 MCLA NAC 4 9 0 0 0 0 0
    189 Medaille United Eas 1 10 0 0 0 0 0
    190 Messiah MAC-C 8 10 0 0 0 0 0
    191 Methodist USA South 9 8 0 0 0 0 0
    192 Mitchell NECC 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    193 Moravian Landmark 7 6 0 0 0 0 0
    194 Mt St Joseph HCLC North 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    195 Mt St Mary Skyline 8 7 0 0 0 0 0
    196 Mt St Vincent Skyline 2 11 0 0 0 0 0
    197 Mt Union OAC 8 8 0 0 0 0 0
    198 Muskingum OAC 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
    199 N Central MN MLC 0 10 0 0 0 0 0
    200 NEC NECC 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    201 New Paltz SUNYAC 3 11 0 0 0 0 0
    202 Nichols CCC 8 11 0 0 0 0 0
    203 NVU-Lyndon NAC 1 10 0 0 0 0 0
    204 Oglethorpe SAA 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    205 Penn College United Eas 9 6 0 0 0 0 0
    206 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 4 12 0 0 0 0 0
    207 Plymouth State LEC 6 11 0 0 0 0 0
    208 Potsdam SUNYAC 5 8 0 0 0 0 0
    209 Purchase Skyline 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    210 Randolph ODAC 1 15 0 0 0 0 0
    211 Regis GNAC 2 13 0 0 0 0 0
    212 Rosemont CSAC 8 10 0 0 0 0 0
    213 Sage Empire 8 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    214 Salem State LEC 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    215 Shenandoah ODAC 10 9 0 0 0 0 0
    216 Skidmore Liberty 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    217 So Maine LEC 3 10 0 0 0 0 0
    218 Southwestern HCLC South 11 5 0 0 0 0 0
    219 St Joseph CT GNAC 7 10 0 0 0 0 0
    220 St Josephs ME GNAC 5 13 0 0 0 0 0
    221 Susquehanna Landmark 9 9 0 0 0 0 0
    222 Swarthmore Centennial 9 7 0 0 0 0 0
    223 Thiel PAC 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    224 Thomas NAC 2 10 0 0 0 0 0
    225 Trinity NESCAC 6 8 0 0 0 0 0
    226 UNE CCC 5 12 0 0 0 0 0
    227 UNW MLC 4 10 0 0 0 0 0
    228 Utica Empire 8 6 9 0 0 0 0 0
    229 Vassar Liberty 7 7 0 0 0 0 0
    230 Virginia Wesle ODAC 5 11 0 0 0 0 0
    231 Wabash NCAC 4 12 0 0 0 0 0
    232 Warren Wilson Independen 0 13 0 0 0 0 0
    233 Wash & Jeff PAC 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    234 Wash College Centennial 4 10 0 0 0 0 0
    235 Wells United Eas 3 9 0 0 0 0 0
    236 Wentworth CCC 8 8 0 0 0 0 0
    237 Wheaton NEWMAC 10 5 0 0 0 0 0
    238 Whittier Independen 8 5 0 0 0 0 0
    239 Widener MAC-C 8 9 0 0 0 0 0
    240 Wilkes MAC-F 5 12 0 0 0 0 0
    241 William Peace USA South 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    242 Williams NESCAC 7 9 0 0 0 0 0
    243 Wilmington OH OAC 2 15 0 0 0 0 0
    244 Wittenberg NCAC 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    245 Wooster NCAC 6 10 0 0 0 0 0

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