•                               Updated: date = 06 01 2022 time = 06:57 PST

    NCAA TOURNAMENT ODDS MEN DIVISION I

    ODDS (%) are based on (1) Selection Criteria of NCAA Men's Division I, (2) games yet to be played, (3) estimated tournament seeding and (4) a Monte Carlo Technique. Invite is the probability of making the tournament; Final 8, Final 4 and Final 2 is the probability of reaching the quarterfinals, semifinals and finals and Champ is the probability of winning the tournament. Numbers in each column are the the probability in percent, e.g., "33" = 33% or 1 out of 3. RPI, SOS and QWF can be found here.

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    Rank Icon Team Conf W L Invite Final 8 Final 4 Final 2 Champ
    1 Brown Ivy 10 6 10 33 1 0 0
    2 Cornell Ivy 14 5 10 64 64 16 0
    3 Georgetown Big East 15 2 10 41 26 15 0
    4 Maryland B1G 18 0 10 97 76 64 4
    5 Notre Dame ACC 8 4 10 59 38 26 1
    6 Penn Ivy 11 5 10 64 33 8 0
    7 Princeton Ivy 10 6 10 74 34 18 0
    8 Rutgers B1G 15 4 10 66 0 13 0
    9 Virginia ACC 12 4 10 67 22 15 0
    10 Yale Ivy 13 4 10 65 34 5 0
    11 Harvard Ivy 8 5 9 32 0 3 0
    12 OSU B1G 10 6 6 22 9 4 0
    13 Utah ASUN 10 4 5 6 2 0 0
    14 Vermont America Ea 12 7 5 0 0 0 0
    15 Jacksonville SoCon 14 3 4 20 12 6 0
    16 Richmond SoCon 11 5 4 14 9 1 0
    17 St Bonaventure MAAC 11 4 4 0 0 0 0
    18 Delaware CAA 13 6 4 9 7 2 0
    19 St Josephs NEC 14 4 3 11 9 1 0
    20 BU Patriot 12 5 3 18 6 1 0
    21 Towson CAA 7 9 3 1 0 0 0
    22 Hobart NEC 7 6 2 1 0 0 0
    23 Army Patriot 12 4 2 9 7 1 0
    24 Marist MAAC 7 8 2 0 0 0 0
    25 Stony Brook America Ea 9 5 2 2 1 1 0
    26 Loyola Patriot 8 8 2 7 3 0 0
    27 Robert Morris ASUN 10 6 2 1 0 0 0
    28 Siena MAAC 6 9 1 0 0 0 0
    29 UMBC America Ea 6 7 1 0 0 0 0
    30 Air Force ASUN 8 7 1 0 0 0 0
    31 Bryant NEC 8 7 1 0 0 0 0
    32 Denver Big East 9 6 1 7 3 0 0
    33 Manhattan MAAC 8 7 1 0 0 0 0
    34 LIU NEC 7 8 1 0 0 0 0
    35 UMass CAA 8 6 1 3 1 0 0
    36 Villanova Big East 9 6 1 4 1 0 0
    37 High Point SoCon 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    38 Lehigh Patriot 8 7 0 2 1 0 0
    39 Bellarmine ASUN 4 13 0 0 0 0 0
    40 Marquette Big East 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    41 Drexel CAA 6 8 0 0 0 0 0
    42 Hofstra CAA 6 9 0 0 0 0 0
    43 Binghamton America Ea 5 9 0 0 0 0 0
    44 Navy Patriot 9 6 0 0 0 0 0
    45 Albany America Ea 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    46 JHU B1G 7 9 0 1 1 0 0
    47 Fairfield CAA 7 7 0 0 0 0 0
    48 Bucknell Patriot 9 6 0 0 0 0 0
    49 Canisius MAAC 2 12 0 0 0 0 0
    50 Cleveland Stat ASUN 3 10 0 0 0 0 0
    51 Colgate Patriot 4 9 0 0 0 0 0
    52 Dartmouth Ivy 4 9 0 0 0 0 0
    53 Detroit Mercy ASUN 2 9 0 0 0 0 0
    54 Duke ACC 11 6 0 0 0 0 0
    55 Hampton SoCon 0 10 0 0 0 0 0
    56 Holy Cross Patriot 1 13 0 0 0 0 0
    57 Lafayette Patriot 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    58 Mercer SoCon 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    59 Merrimack NEC 6 6 0 0 0 0 0
    60 Michigan B1G 7 8 0 0 0 0 0
    61 Monmouth MAAC 5 7 0 0 0 0 0
    62 Mt St Marys NEC 5 10 0 0 0 0 0
    63 NJIT America Ea 0 13 0 0 0 0 0
    64 Providence Big East 6 8 0 0 0 0 0
    65 PSU B1G 3 11 0 0 0 0 0
    66 Quinnipiac MAAC 2 11 0 0 0 0 0
    67 Sacred Heart NEC 3 10 0 0 0 0 0
    68 St Johns Big East 2 12 0 0 0 0 0
    69 Syracuse ACC 4 10 0 0 0 0 0
    70 UMassLowell America Ea 2 11 0 0 0 0 0
    71 UNC ACC 8 6 0 0 0 0 0
    72 VMI SoCon 4 11 0 0 0 0 0
    73 Wagner NEC 3 9 0 0 0 0 0

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